Early June Could See Increased Supercell Production In Oklahoma

Oklahoma has had a busy May with severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. And it's looking like that could continue into June. Oklahoma has multiple days of rain and storm chances through the end of May, and long-range models are indicating the state could see an increase in supercell production by the beginning of June.

The National Weather Service in Norman is expecting multiple rainy days with chances of severe storms across Oklahoma through the end of May. Cooler than average temperatures are also expected to close out May. But warmer temperatures, closer to average, are expected to return once June begins.

Next chance of severe weather in Oklahoma will be Thursday, May 29.

So far, there are no extreme severe weather days on the horizon for Oklahoma. But portions of southern Oklahoma could see some severe weather on Thursday. Portions of southwest Oklahoma woke up to severe thunderstorms on Thursday morning. More severe storms are expected to crop up in the same areas from 2-10 p.m.

These storms are expected to produce golf ball sized hail and damaging wind gusts from 60 to 70 miles per hour. There is a very low chance for tornadoes, but residents are encouraged to remain weather aware.

READ MORE: Here's Oklahoma's 2025 Tornado Season Stats Thus Far

Supercell production expected to increase across Oklahoma in early June.

Extreme Meteorologist Reed Timmer, who leads Team Dominator, posted to his official Facebook page on Wednesday, May 28 that early June could see an increase in supercell production across Nebraska, Kansas and Oklahoma. He included a long-rage supercell production graphic from Northern Illinois University that indicates the probability of supercell production.

The latest model indicates that portions of Nebraska, Kansas and Oklahoma will have all of the right ingredients for supercells June 4-10. This doesn't mean supercells are guaranteed, but the atmospheres in these areas will have everything it needs to produce supercells and tornadoes.

Timmer expects this pattern to begin between June 2 and June 3 and could also include significant severe weather.